Head & Shoulders
Key Takeaways
- 01.Three successive peaks: a high peak (head) flanked by two lower peaks (shoulders).
- 02.The neckline connects the two troughs and serves as the key support/breakout line.
- 03.Completion requires a decisive close below the neckline support.
- 04.The profit target is measured by projecting the distance from the head to the neckline downward from the breakout point.
Why it matters
It represents a structural failure in the trend: the right shoulder represents a lower high, showing that buyers no longer have the strength to push price past the previous peak (head). The subsequent neckline break shows sellers taking control.
When it matters
This pattern is highly reliable when it develops over several weeks or months at the absolute peak of an extended uptrend.
Three peaks with the center peak higher than the outer peaks, connected at their lows by a neckline.
Select the Head & Shoulders tool on the chart to overlay shoulders, head, and neckline.
Common Mistakes
Pre-empting the pattern
Many traders enter short positions during the formation of the right shoulder. Until the neckline is broken, the trend remains technically bullish and the pattern can fail.
Draw-down on upward-sloping necklines
When the neckline slopes upward, waiting for a breakdown can result in entering the trade very late, reducing the risk-reward ratio.
๐ Real-World Example: A cyclical market peak
In mid-2018, a major industrial conglomerate formed a classic multi-month head & shoulders pattern. After a multi-year rally, the right shoulder printed a clear lower high on lower volume, and the subsequent gap-down below the neckline marked the beginning of a 40% decline.